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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.07.12 12:25l 125 Lines 4812 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jul 29 1022 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU211
UGEOA 30512 20729 0938/ 9930/
11292 20292 38292
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 29 Jul 2012 until 31 Jul
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 132 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 134 / AP: 004
COMMENT: An M6.1 flare, from source region 1532 peaking at 20:56 UT on
July 28 was associated with a CME. The speed of the CME is estimated to
be below 500 km/s. The CME has a strong southward component. Impact on
Earth is unlikely and if a glancing blow occurs, the induced geomagnetic
disturbance will be limited. Another long duration M-flare occurred on
July 29. No information is yet available. A magnetic structure visible
in the solar wind on July 28 and 29 has a speed of 350 km/s as measured
by ACE. With a transit time of around 5 days to cross the distance
Sun-Earth, the structure can be possibly traced back to the plasma
eruption on July 23, 02:36UT. The geomagnetic conditions on the
planetary level were unsettled with one active period. The next hours,
unsettled conditions with an occasional period of K=4 are possible
because of the influence of a coronal hole.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 075, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20729 0938/ 28///
1//// 21272 3014/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
28 2044 2056 2104 S25E54 M6.1 2N 360 II/2, III/1 27 1532
CME
END
UGEOR 30512 20729 0938/ 27/08 29110
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 31817 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60005 12217 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 472// 50050 60002 22511 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50140 60004 22719 15100
10025 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 46114 00000
10026 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 46215 00000
10027 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50070 60013 26720 16300
10028 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 10601 00000
10029 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 22528 03000
10030 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60002 28023 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 28068 08322 57002 10718 2/801 58005 21410 2/801 60012
22418 21303 61003 47415 01202 62032 25521 21612 63003 21528 21304
USSPS 21305 28170 10642 58004 10318 2/801 59009 21011 4/801 60019
21920 41303 62051 25322 41621 63005 21029 01208 64001 15917 0/101
65001 22819 0/101
USSPS 81202 29048 10222 64040 24322 41627 66003 22120 2/802 62008
21216 41304 65005 20328 21304 61005 20212 2/803 60003 40118 21302
UMAGF 31523 20729 ///// 2800/ 1/014 21222 33443
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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