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OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.07.12 14:45l 111 Lines 4162 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jul 19 1243 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU201
UGEOA 30512 20719 1234/ 9930/
11192 20192 31192
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 19 Jul 2012 until 21 Jul
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 009
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 098 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1520 is still producing strong flares as it rotates
over the west limb. An M7.7 flare peaking at 05:58 UT was related to a
fast halo CME (~1400 km/s) with the bulk of the material towards the
west and therefore not expected to arrive to the Earth, even though a
shock can be seen on July 21. The flare, and/or the CME, produced an
increase in the 50 and 100 MeV proton fluxes, they are close to passing
the 10 pfu threshold (the 10 MeV flux is above this threshold since July
17). This AR can produce more activity before it completely disappears
behind the limb. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain
so.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 025, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20719 1234/ 18///
10063 21100 3006/ 4//// 80004 90220
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20719 1234/ 19/08 19103
10017 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60007 35427 02000
10018 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 23114 02000
10019 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 23218 02000
99999
USSPS 32404 18068 05432 49030 37919 41504 52008 34129 21404 54003
24716 21305 55003 24720 2/801
USSPS 21305 18172 05942 49042 37917 5/801 53007 35628 21308 54002
24217 21309 55004 24121 2/801
USSPS 31405 19081 04742 17005 35427 21307 18001 23114 01204 19003
23218 21306
UMAGF 30503 20719 1004/ 18060 1/010 21111 32103
UMAGF 31523 20719 ///// 1800/ 1/006 22122 31231
UCMEO 93001 20718 2030/ 20718 60624 81330 3262/ 325// 123// 40711
20718 60554 80635 ///// ///// 1112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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