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OK0NAG > SOLAR 01.07.12 12:10l 106 Lines 4094 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: Monthly Ri Report
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# MONTHLY REPORT ON THE INTERNATIONAL SUNSPOT NUMBER #
# from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Provisional International monthly mean Sunspot Number for
June 2012 : 64.5 (sixty-four point five)
Maximum : 116 on 3 // Minimum : 11 on 21, 23
Provisional daily International Sunspot Numbers for June 2012 :
1.. 85 6..107 11.. 90 16.. 74 21.. 11 26.. 25
2..106 7.. 89 12.. 78 17.. 62 22.. 13 27.. 49
3..116 8.. 75 13.. 79 18.. 40 23.. 11 28.. 61
4..104 9.. 74 14.. 86 19.. 36 24.. 14 29.. 72
5..106 10.. 85 15.. 82 20.. 21 25.. 12 30.. 73
70 cooperating stations on July 1, 09 UT
Predictions of the monthly smoothed Sunspot Number using the last
provisional value, calculated for December 2011 : 63.4 (+-5%)
SM CM SM CM SM CM
2012 Jan 67 65 2012 Jul 62 82 2013 Jan 72 93
Feb 65 69 Aug 64 84 Feb 74 94
Mar 58 71 Sep 65 86 Mar 74 93
Apr 59 74 Oct 67 87 Apr 75 92
May 60 77 Nov 69 89 May 74 91
Jun 61 80 Dec 71 92 Jun 73 91
SM : SIDC classical method : based on an interpolation of Waldmeier's
standard curves; the estimated error ranges from 7% (first month) to
35% (last month)
CM : Combined method : the combined method is a regression technique
coupling a dynamo-based estimator with Waldmeier's idea of standard
curves, due to K. Denkmayr.
ref. : K. Denkmayr, P. Cugnon, 1997 : "About Sunspot Number Medium-Term
Predictions", in "Solar-Terrestrial Prediction Workshop V", eds.
G. Heckman et al., Hiraiso Solar Terrestrial Research Center, Japan, 103
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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