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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.06.12 16:04l 120 Lines 4600 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jun 10 1350 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU162
UGEOA 30512 20610 1327/ 9930/
12102 21102 30102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Jun 2012 until 12 Jun
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 128 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 131 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 133 / AP: 009
COMMENT: The Catania sunspot group 77 (NOAA AR 1504) situated close to
the east limb produced 3 M-class flares in last 12 hours. The M 1.9
flare peaking at 11:32 UT and M1.8 flare peaking at 15:53 UT on June 9,
and M1.3 flare peaking at 06:45 UT today. There were no earth-directed
CMEs associated with these impulsive flares. We expect more flaring
activity at the C-class level and also M-class flares particularly from
the Catania sunspot group 77 (NOAA AR 1504). The Earth is inside a slow
solar wind flow with the speed of about 440 km/s, and the interplanetary
magnetic field is stable with the magnitude of 6 nT. The geomagnetic
conditions are quiet at the moment. We expect quite to active
geomagnetic conditions due to the possible arrival of the CME-driven
shock wave associated with the partial-halo CME from June 6.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 086, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20610 1327/ 09///
10100 21281 3013/ 4//// 80106 90330
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
09 1120 1132 1135 S15E80 M1.9 150 77
1504 Location derived from Solar Soft Latest Events.
09 1645 1653 1656 S17E74 M1.8 SF 77
1504
10 0639 0645 0650 S15E66 M1.3 100 77
1504 Location derived from Solar Soft Latest Events.
END
UGEOR 30512 20610 1327/ 09/07 10106
10062 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60004 45315 01000
10063 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50130 60005 33616 02000
10064 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50030 60007 43115 15000
10065 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60007 36220 02000
10074 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50040 60012 42016 02000
10077 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60005 27516 29600
99999
USSPS 21305 09164 09232 32003 26809 1/101 31006 27217 31306 19008
34217 5/801 21008 36522 31303 18004 46916 3/801 22001 44517 0/101
24009 42616 31309
UMAGF 30503 20610 1004/ 09065 1/012 21221 33202
UMAGF 31523 20610 ///// 0900/ 1/013 22313 33243
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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