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OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.06.12 15:13l 123 Lines 4765 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jun 07 1307 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU159
UGEOA 30512 20607 1120/ 9930/
11072 21072 30072
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 07 Jun 2012 until 09 Jun
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 149 / AP: 006
COMMENT: The Catania sunspot group 63 (NOAA AR 1494) produced an M 2.1
flare peaking at 20:05 UT on June 6. The type II and type IV radio
emission was observed associated with this event. The flare was
accompanied with the coronal dimming and partial-halo CME. The CME is
propagating with the speed of about 500 km/s and it is southward
directed. The possible arrival of the CME-driven shock wave is on June
10. We expect more flaring activity at the C-class level, and possibly
also M-class flares. The fast speed stream, due to recurrent coronal
hole, which arrived early on June 4 have caused 3 days of active
geomagnetic conditions (K=4 reported by Dourbes and IZMIRAN, NOAA
reported Kp=4). The solar wind speed is still rather high (about 620
km/s), but it is slowly decreasing. The interplanetary magnetic field
(IMF) is stable with the magnitude of about 3 nT. We expect quiet
geomagnetic conditions with the possible intervals of the active
geomagnetic conditions in the next 24 hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 091, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20607 1120/ 06///
10207 21400 3021/ 4//// 80211 90670
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
06 1954 2006 2013 S19W05 M2.1 1B II/3,IV/3
63 1494
END
UGEOR 30512 20607 1120/ 07/08 07110
10062 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50100 60008 42615 03100
10063 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50170 60015 31116 15100
10064 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50060 60014 40615 15000
10065 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50110 60010 33520 03100
10068 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 46209 00000
10070 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50100 60014 42012 02100
10071 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50050 60018 40307 00000
10072 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 20816 00000
10074 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50040 60014 10516 00000
10075 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 45426 01000
99999
USSPS 31405 07086 20142 62010 42615 21308 63017 31116 21315 64006
40615 24514 65011 33520 24410 68001 46209 0/101 70010 42012 25414
71005 40307 01218 72001 20816 0/101 74004 10516 01214 75002 45426
01206
UMAGF 30503 20607 1004/ 06061 1/021 22233 34222
UMAGF 31523 20607 ///// 0600/ 1/021 23323 34453
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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