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OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.06.12 14:38l 149 Lines 5634 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jun 04 1335 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU156
UGEOA 30512 20604 1251/ 9930/
11042 22042 30042
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 04 Jun 2012 until 06 Jun
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 131 / AP: 029
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 136 / AP: 006
COMMENT: Ten sunspot groups were reported by Catania today. Only
occasional C-class flares and one M-class flare were observed during the
past 24 hours. The Catania sunspot group 64 (NOAA AR 1496) produced an
M
3.3 flare peaking at 17:55 UT on June 3. More C-class flares can be
expected from this group as well as from the fast growing Catania
sunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1497) The fast speed stream, due to recurrent
coronal hole, arrived this morning. The solar wind speed is about 630
km/s and growing. Due to the interval of negative value of the Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field (up to -13 nT) active
geomagnetic conditions (Dourbes and IZMIRAN K = 5; NOAA reported Kp= 5)
were reported , on June 3. At the moment the interplanetary magnetic
field (IMF) magnitude is about 10 nT and the Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field is fluctuating (down to -13 nT). Due to
the arrival of the fast speed stream, the geomagnetic conditions are
active with the reported values of K=4 (Dourbes and IZMIRAN; NOAA
reports Kp=4). We expect active to minor storm geomagnetic conditions to
persist during the following 24 hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 105, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20604 1251/ 03///
1//// 21291 3026/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
03 1748 1755 1757 M3.3 320 V/2,II/2
1496
END
UGEOR 30512 20604 1251/ 01/08 04110
10054 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60008 33812 01000
10056 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60011 30912 00000
10057 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60005 31711 01000
10061 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60009 21412 00000
10062 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60007 15815 04000
10063 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60003 26915 01000
10064 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60005 17017 04100
10065 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60007 24321 04100
10066 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 27817 00000
10067 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60002 18109 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 03083 17232 12003 37013 21302 14001 33714 01203 17013
13213 21409 18011 24316 2/801 19001 30815 2/801 20009 21721 21409
21003 15308 2/801 22007 14317 21406 23000 34512 0/101 24004 15916
21403 26000 26617 0/101 27000 37228 01202 28004 41111 21403
USSPS 21305 03154 17932 18014 11912 51517 22007 14015 31312 24003
15515 01204 23003 14908 01204 25002 26219 01202 19007 23716 5/801
21007 21221 31409 20001 31414 0/101 26003 37526 0/102 14003 37513
3/801 27002 41512 01204 28001 42705 01202
USSPS 81202 04036 17542 17001 37714 0/101 23002 32015 01204 24015
20621 21419 22012 23016 2/802 30001 25317 0/102 31003 42209 11407
21019 12113 24514 26005 12917 11308 32001 12707 0/102 25004 14109
11304 29002 14615 01202
UMAGF 30503 20604 1004/ 03069 1/036 22355 34112
UMAGF 31523 20604 ///// 0300/ 1/026 23223 35642
INDAA 20528
1/002 00200 20080 20024 02400 9/011
2/005 00800 50050 08012 01201 2/008
3/016 00800 80250 25020 01600 5/015
4/020 01201 60160 12024 03800 5/018
5/005 01200 20160 12020 00900 8/011
6/008 00800 80080 12038 02404 6/019
7/012 01200 80251 04104 06000 5/041
END
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