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OK0NAG > SOLAR    23.05.12 13:37l 122 Lines 4621 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 May 23 1233 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU144
UGEOA 30512 20523 1221/ 9930/
11232 20232 30232
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 23 May 2012 until 25 May 
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 018
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 009
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 006
COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 39 (NOAA AR 1484) produced a C1.2 flare

peaking at 00:27 UT today. More C-class flares can be expected from this

group, as well as from recently emerged Catania sunspot group 47 (NOAA

AR 1488). The post-shock solar wind flow was followed by a fast solar
wind stream (with the speed reaching 700 km/s) from a small low-latitude

coronal hole in the southern hemisphere. Due to high interplanetary
magnetic field (IMF) magnitude (that reached 15 nT), active geomagnetic

conditions (K = 4) were reported by Dourbes and IZMIRAN and minor storm

conditions (K = 5) were reported by NOAA. Currently the solar wind speed

is still elevated (around 620 km/s), but the IMF magnitude decreased to

average values (around 4 nT). We therefore expect quiet geomagnetic
conditions.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 055, BASED ON 13 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20523 1221/ 22///
10114 21210 3025/ 4//// 80207 90490
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 20523 1221/ 23/07 23108
10036 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60004 47415 01000
10039 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50150 60015 44511 16000
10043 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50130 60007 10817 00000
10044 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 37223 00000
10047 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 14912 03000
10048 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 41712 00000
10049 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 24719 00000
10050 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 24829 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 22062 06422 00003 46913 2/801 03024 46114 21405 04029 
43210 34417 07011 12416 2/801 
USSPS 21305 22151 08132 12003 16214 01203 09008 11819 5/801 13002 
26029 0/101 06002 35923 01202 07012 46717 31303 05017 43815 31311 
USSPS 81202 23020 08932 12013 11516 41303 15003 15310 01205 16002 
25330 0/101 09004 36524 31302 08024 44210 44515 07019 46915 51303 
USSPS 31405 23076 11942 36005 47415 21304 39015 44511 25515 43013 
10817 21307 44002 37223 21303 47002 14912 01205 48001 41712 0/102 
49001 24719 0/102 50001 24829 0/101 
UMAGF 30503 20523 1004/ 22063 1/029 22234 33334 
UMAGF 31523 20523 ///// 2200/ 1/025 23433 34544 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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