| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.05.12 00:01l 232 Lines 7688 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : J5MOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 120519/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 19 May 2012 22:01:17 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1337464888-03b34848614b050001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 19 May 2012 22:01:28.0515 (UTC) FILETIME=[F10A0130:01CD360A]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.167
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.97431Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1337464888
----boundary_76018_f0274418-6e4d-494d-a63f-6ff39a4f094f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 May 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 140 Issued at 2200Z on 19 May 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Only a few weak C-class flares
were observed from old Region 1476 (N10, L=180) and Region 1479
(N15W39). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the reporting
period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days 1 -
3 (20 - 22 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 10 MeV proton
event at geosynchronous orbit that began at 17/0210Z and reached a
peak flux of 255 pfu at 17/0430Z, ended at 18/1620Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels on day 1 (20 May). Quiet to
unsettled levels are expected on day 2 (21 May). Quiet to unsettled
levels with isolated active periods are expected on day 3 (22 May)
as a coronal hole high speed stream and the 18 May CME are expected
to become geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 20 May-22 May
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 May 131
Predicted 20 May-22 May 135/130/130
90 Day Mean 19 May 116
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 May 008/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 May-22 May 006/005-007/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 May-22 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/15/25
Minor storm 01/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/20/30
Minor storm 05/15/20
Major-severe storm 01/05/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_76018_f0274418-6e4d-494d-a63f-6ff39a4f094f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_76018_f0274418-6e4d-494d-a63f-6ff39a4f094f--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
