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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.05.12 14:51l 125 Lines 4926 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 May 17 1244 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU138
UGEOA 30512 20517 1230/ 9930/
11172 20172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 May 2012 until 19 May
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 129 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1476 released an M5.1 flare peaking at 01:47 UT. The
flare produced a proton storm, which is now decaying. An associated CME
was observed, travelling towards the west, it's not expected to arrive
to Earth (although we may see the shock). Also type II/III radio bursts
were detected. This AR is now at W88, so it's unlikely (but possible)
that more strong flares will come from it. C-class flares are expected
from several other regions on the disk. ACE data shows characteristics
of a magnetic cloud (MC) passing, a clear solar candidate for this MC is
not evident. Nevertheless, it wasn't geoeffective so far due to its
internal northern IMF, if this doesn't change quiet conditions are
expected.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 080, BASED ON 13 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20517 1230/ 16///
10175 21310 3012/ 4//// 80711 90610
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
17 0125 0147 0214 N11W76 M5.1 1F 540 II/3,IV/2,III/3
1476
END
UGEOR 30512 20517 1230/ 16/07 17111
10025 2//// 3//// 4642/ 50160 60010 46112 16300
10029 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 32122 00000
10031 2//// 3//// 472// 50050 60001 31222 00000
10035 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60005 10914 00000
10036 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50160 60017 11715 17100
10037 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60004 22324 00000
10038 2//// 3//// 471// 50020 60002 22808 00000
10039 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50100 60016 14712 16200
10040 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 25024 00000
10041 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 26018 00000
10042 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 18012 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 16068 12632 96028 46015 21604 97001 32321 1/801 00004
11215 21303 01008 31423 2/801 02002 22911 2/801 03014 12013 31410
04009 14808 34410 05003 22227 2/802 06002 26021 01204
USSPS 21305 16143 12342 96023 47111 31303 97001 32522 0/102 01004
31722 2/801 06000 22026 0/101 04001 22610 0/101 08002 25819 01204
05014 14511 31409 07012 11614 31309 02005 10606 21303
USSPS 81202 17015 13532 04006 10114 21303 07020 11014 51411 08016
13710 21416 11006 16810 21303 06002 22010 21303 10003 25118 21304
05006 32324 0/101 03002 33222 0/101 02024 47509 41303
UMAGF 30503 20517 1004/ 16069 1/014 21122 33321
UMAGF 31523 20517 ///// 1600/ 1/012 22212 33334
UCMEO 93001 20516 1920/ 20512 60000 80630 1171/ 116// 213// 30962
20511 62318 80051 21516 ///// 2212/ 99999 PLAIN
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