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OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.05.12 14:29l 117 Lines 4423 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 May 06 1221 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU127
UGEOA 30512 20506 1153/ 9930/
12062 21062 30062
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 06 May 2012 until 08 May
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 126 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 022
COMMENT: Solar activity is likely to reach active levels with risks of
M class flares from NOAA AR 1476 (Catania 25) during the next 48 hours,
and C class flares from NOAA ARs 1470 and 1471. AR 1476 produces 3
moderate M flares during the last 24 hours, the strongest being a M1.4
flare (on May 5th, 13:23 UT peak time). LASCO data are currently not
available, but some off-disk signatures of CMEs were observed on the
East limb (not associated with AR 1476). Geomagnetic activity is
expected to reach active conditions level by May 8th as a coronal hole
becomes geoeffective. Isolated minor storm conditions are possible.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 059, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20506 1153/ 05///
10090 21160 3003/ 4//// 80107 90430
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
05 1319 1323 1329 N13E82 M1.4 SN VI/1
25 1476
05 2256 2301 2304 N09E75 M1.3 SF 25
1476
06 0112 0118 0120 M1.1 25
1476
END
UGEOR 30512 20506 1153/ 05/07 06107
10015 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 38021 00000
10016 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60003 36524 02000
10020 2//// 3//// 475// 50230 60005 31120 03000
10021 2//// 3//// 472// 50010 60001 13514 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 472// 50010 60001 14407 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60004 31914 03000
10025 2//// 3//// 474// 50110 60004 18012 29510
99999
USSPS 32404 05063 08832 87007 36726 21304 89026 31520 51408 92000
38021 0/101 93001 13813 2/801 94001 14705 2/801 95000 32315 01202
96030 17809 4/801
USSPS 21305 05162 06642 94001 13212 0/101 95001 14104 0/101 96036
17609 51403 89017 31919 31410 88006 37725 2/801
UMAGF 30503 20506 1004/ 05068 1/008 21221 31111
UMAGF 31523 20506 ///// 0500/ 1/003 20102 32201
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
# #
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