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OK0NAG > SOLAR    24.05.08 23:07l 72 Lines 2760 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 24 May 2008 22:01:40 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 May 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 145 Issued at 2200Z on 24 May 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remains
spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.  Solar wind velocities at ACE ranged between 450-580 km/s
today.  The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a chance for isolated active
conditions at high latitudes, for the next three days (25-27 May).
III.  Event Probabilities 25 May-27 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           24 May 069
Predicted   25 May-27 May  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        24 May 071
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 May  007/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 May  007/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May  008/010-005/008-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 May-27 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/25/25
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/01/01

	  	  
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