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OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.04.12 13:21l 137 Lines 5094 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Apr 23 1214 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU114
UGEOA 30512 20423 1153/ 9930/
11232 21232 30232
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 23 Apr 2012 until 25 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 152 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 153 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The solar flaring activity is still rather low: the background
X-ray flux as measured by GOES is at B6 level. Catania 2 (NOAA AR 1459)
and Catania 10 (NOAA AR 1465) produced several small C-flares in the
past day. More C-flaring from these regions is likely in the coming days
with a small chance for an isolated M-flare. A filament eruption
occurred on April 22 starting around 13:00 UT on the south-west limb of
the Sun. The corresponding CME enters the SOHO/LASCO field-of-view at
14:36 UT and has an estimated speed of 430 km/s. Based on the
STEREO/COR2 data, this CME does not seem to have an earth-directed
component.
SOHO/CELIAS and ACE data show a shock in the solar wind parameters
around 2:30 UT this morning. This indicates the arrival of the partial
halo CME that was observed on April 19th. Currently, the interplanetary
magnetic field has a value around 10 nT with the north-south component
turning towards the south. The solar wind speed lies around 480 km/s.
The Kp index has reached active levels (Kp=4), while the local K index
at Dourbes is at K=3 (unsettled conditions). Active conditions to minor
storm levels (K or Kp maximum 5) are possible in the coming hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 089, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20423 1153/ 22///
1//// 21480 3010/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20423 1153/ 23/08 23105
10001 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50250 60014 44517 02000
10002 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50320 60040 32914 16100
10006 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50140 60007 37522 02000
10010 2//// 3//// 4452/ 50310 60028 21816 15100
10011 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50100 60018 12312 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 22127 11432 78040 31815 54421 79039 43416 31514 81046
36525 21504 84032 22218 34414 85006 13612 21411
USSPS 21305 22162 12632 78046 32015 57428 80020 43516 31413 81033
36824 41404 84027 21918 37419 85005 13412 24412
USSPS 81202 23004 18632 84040 43915 41523 86001 40010 0/101 92012
12811 21417 87030 36925 41404 83059 32515 54544 91040 21318 57437
USSPS 31405 23088 15742 01025 44517 24414 02032 32914 35540 06014
37522 45407 10031 21816 54428 11010 12312 21318
UMAGF 30503 20423 1004/ 22060 1/015 22221 31124
UMAGF 31523 20423 ///// 2200/ 1/010 23323 33212
INDAA 20409
1/005 00200 50020 05005 01202 0/007
2/033 01200 50080 08012 00802 0/013
3/008 00802 50120 12005 00502 0/012
4/005 03302 50160 12033 10403 3/033
5/067 04604 70390 16024 01602 4/035
6/024 03301 60120 16016 02400 8/019
7/008 00800 80100 12008 01600 8/010
END
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