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OK0NAG > SOLAR 22.04.12 14:23l 122 Lines 4230 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Apr 22 1215 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU113
UGEOA 30512 20422 1145/ 9930/
11222 20222 30222
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 22 Apr 2012 until 24 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 149 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 156 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 159 / AP: 004
COMMENT: Solar activity is low with only small C-class flares. NOAA AR
1460 (Catania 1) and NOAA AR 1459 (Catania 2) and NOAA AR 1465 (Catania
10) are growing, but maintaining beta configuration. We expect C-class
flares and possibly M-class flare. During last 18 hours the Bz component
of the interplanetary magnetic field was fluctuating having
predominantly negative value (up to -8 nT). During this time interval
solar wind speed was decreasing and its value is at the moment 330 km/s.
The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expect to remain so in the next
hours. The arrival of the partial halo CME from April 19 is expected
late on April 22, early April 23. We do not expect strongly disturbed
geomagnetic conditions (K index maximum 4) due to the slow speed of the
CME.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 098, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20422 1145/ 21///
10164 21490 3008/ 4//// 80006 91270
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20422 1145/ 21/06 22106
10001 2//// 3//// 4452/ 50370 60029 41817 15000
10002 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50320 60039 30314 15200
10003 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 11912 00000
10005 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60004 36524 01000
10006 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50330 60013 34822 04000
10010 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50210 60016 23516 04100
99999
USSPS 32404 21067 10232 78045 30413 37526 79050 41717 57511 81036
35122 31405 82006 37223 2/801 84022 23719 21409
USSPS 21305 21151 17242 80034 42315 54427 81043 35524 51411 82002
37826 11303 78046 30715 57451 84020 23417 37417 85002 14812 0/103
UMAGF 30503 20422 1004/ 21064 1/018 20112 33432
UMAGF 31523 20422 ///// 2100/ 1/008 22111 31234
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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# #
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