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Date: Sat, 8 Dec 2007 22:02:28 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2007 Dec 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 342 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Dec 2007
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 978 (S10E39) has
grown and new region 979 (N07W65) emerged.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to range
from very low to low. The development of Region 978 (S10E39 ) and
emergence of Region 979 (N07W65) bring an increased possiblity of
C-Class activity.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for day 1 and 2, then increase to
unsettled levels on day 3 as a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 09 Dec-11 Dec
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Dec 087
Predicted 09 Dec-11 Dec 085/085/085
90 Day Mean 08 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Dec 000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Dec 005/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Dec-11 Dec 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Dec-11 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/25
Minor storm 05/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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