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OK0NAG > SOLAR 21.04.12 15:53l 123 Lines 4643 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Apr 21 1344 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU112
UGEOA 30512 20421 1340/ 9930/
11212 21212 30212
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 21 Apr 2012 until 23 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 142 / AP: 009
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 148 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 154 / AP: 009
COMMENT: Solar activity is low with only isolated C-class flares. NOAA
AR 1460 (Catania 1) and NOAA AR 1459 (Catania 2) are still growing, but
maintaining beta configuration. New NOAA AR 1465 (Catania 10) emerged
yesterday and is growing rapidly. We expect C-class flares and possibly
M-class flare. ACE solar wind data indicate arrival of the sector
boundary at 07:00 UT on April 20. The crossing of the sector boundary
was related to the fluctuations of the Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field and periods of its negative value (up to
–
8 nT). The solar wind speed is about 360 km/s. Due to the low solar wind
speed, geomagnetic conditions are at the moment quiet. The arrival of
the partial halo CME from April 19 is expected late on April 22. We do
not expect strongly disturbed geomagnetic conditions (K index maximum 4)
due to the slow speed of the CME.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 104, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20421 1340/ 20///
10175 21420 3008/ 4//// 80107 90970
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20421 1340/ 21/06 21106
10001 2//// 3//// 4452/ 50370 60029 41817 15000
10002 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50320 60039 30314 15100
10003 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 11912 00000
10005 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60004 36524 03000
10006 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50330 60013 34822 04000
10010 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50210 60016 23516 04000
99999
USSPS 32404 20083 12532 78049 21016 54527 79036 40516 37409 80002
13412 2/802 81040 33825 31408 82007 35726 31303 83001 40423 01202
84006 24918 21404
USSPS 21305 20163 17342 78038 20715 37440 80054 41016 57420 79002
13012 0/103 81044 34225 41416 82008 36026 21310 83001 40824 01202
84021 24617 51412
USSPS 81202 21010 16822 84047 41415 47432 86002 12212 01202 87042
34525 21413 89008 36027 21306 91026 24017 21415 83044 20115 24540
USSPS 31405 21065 16432 01037 41817 55429 02032 30314 35439 03001
11912 01203 05003 36524 21304 06033 34822 44413 10021 23516 24416
UMAGF 30503 20421 1004/ 20061 1/010 23211 31111
UMAGF 31523 20421 ///// 2000/ 1/008 21332 32112
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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