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OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.04.12 13:34l 121 Lines 4508 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Apr 19 1231 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU110
UGEOA 30512 20419 1144/ 9930/
11192 21192 30192
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 19 Apr 2012 until 21 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 005
COMMENT: Several C-class flares were observed in the last 24 hours. The
active regions NOAA AR 1460 (Catania 8) and NOAA AR 1459 (Catania 8) are
still growing and have potential for C-class flares and possibly also
M-class flare. Three partial halo CMEs observed on April 18 were all
back side events associated with the flares at E150 as seen from the
Earth, and they will not arrive at the Earth. The fluctuations of the
geomagnetic field and the extended periods of negative southward
magnetic field component Bz during last 48 hours were associated with
the increase of the solar wind speed (up to 470 km/s). The solar wind
speed decreased back to 350 km/s. We expect active geomagnetic
conditions in the coming hours due to the arrival of the partial halo
CME from April 15 and the glancing blow from the CME-driven shock wave
associated with the partial halo from April 16.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 089, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20419 1144/ 18///
10157 21220 3009/ 4//// 80408 90480
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20419 1144/ 19/08 19107
10001 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50240 60032 10817 15100
10002 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50200 60038 22315 15200
10003 2//// 3//// 472// 50030 60003 14713 02000
10005 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50070 60012 33924 03000
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50100 60013 32222 15000
10008 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 10922 01000
10009 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 21922 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 18147 08732 80012 11916 31410 79004 15811 2/801 78014
23417 34419 81003 31425 21402 82004 33226 21305
USSPS 81202 19025 11032 84018 11216 21414 86003 15014 21302 83018
22515 34427 87005 31824 21408 89007 33626 21309
USSPS 31405 19081 17342 01024 10817 24432 02020 22315 25438 03003
14713 2/903 05007 33924 21312 06010 32222 24413 08001 10922 01203
09001 21922 01202
UMAGF 30503 20419 1004/ 18064 1/011 22221 32211
UMAGF 31523 20419 ///// 1800/ 1/009 23232 32222
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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# #
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