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OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.04.12 14:54l 123 Lines 4493 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Apr 18 1351 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU109
UGEOA 30512 20418 1330/ 9930/
11182 21182 30182
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 18 Apr 2012 until 20 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 018
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 023
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 004
COMMENT: During last 24 hours only few C class flares were observed. We
expect C-class flares and possibly M-class flare. One of the newly
emerged NOAA AR 1462 (Catania 6) produced C3.1 flare peaking at 03:07
UT. The flare was associated with the weak full halo CME propagating
with the speed of about 450 km/s, possibly heading towards the Earth. At
the moment of writing the STEREO/SECCHI COR2 data are not available, and
the possible arrival time of the halo CME cannot be estimated. Solar
wind speed is growing and is, at the moment, about 450 km/s. In next 48
hours we expect active geomagnetic conditions, due to the arrival of the
partial halo CME from April 15. The glancing blow, from the CME-driven
shock wave associated with the partial halo CME from April 16, is
possible on April 19 .
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 076, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20418 1330/ 17///
10079 21140 3010/ 4//// 80104 90260
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20418 1330/ 18/06 18108
10001 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50130 60016 12217 15000
10002 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50220 60034 23715 15100
10003 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60002 16013 00000
10004 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 44209 00000
10005 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60010 32624 00000
10006 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60008 30922 04000
10007 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 22224 00000
10096 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 47607 01000
99999
USSPS 21305 17149 05832 75001 47307 01202 78015 24717 31508 79002
17312 2/801 80004 13316 21407
USSPS 81202 18015 10832 86009 16413 2/801 84017 12517 24413 83026
24116 57520 87003 30524 11407 89002 32327 0/104 88002 44007 0/103
USSPS 31405 18068 15742 01013 12217 25416 02022 23715 35434 03002
16013 2/902 04001 44209 01202 05004 32624 21310 06004 30922 21308
07001 22224 01202 96001 47607 01203
UMAGF 30503 20418 1004/ 17066 1/018 21322 33232
UMAGF 31523 20418 ///// 1700/ 1/010 22122 33333
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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