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OK0NAG > SOLAR 11.04.12 23:01l 216 Lines 7159 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Apr 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 102 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Apr 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. An emerging flux region was numbered today as Region 1455
(N07E08) and was magnetically classified as a beta group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a slight chance for C-class events for the next
three days (12-14 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance for
active conditions for the next three days (12-14 April) as a coronal
hole high speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Apr-14 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Apr 093
Predicted 12 Apr-14 Apr 090/090/090
90 Day Mean 11 Apr 114
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Apr 006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Apr 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Apr-14 Apr 008/012-007/012-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Apr-14 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/30/30
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 40/40/40
Minor storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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