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OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.04.12 13:30l 126 Lines 4691 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Apr 06 1206 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU097
UGEOA 30512 20406 1200/ 9930/
11062 20062 30062
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 06 Apr 2012 until 08 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 101 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 008
COMMENT: Three C-class flares occurred in the past day: a C3.1 flare
with peak time 16:24 UT, a C1.5 flare peaking at 21:10 UT and a C1.1
flare at 00:00 UT. All flares originated in NOAA AR 11450 (Catania 89)
which now has a beta-gamma magnetic classification and holds the
potential for more C-class flares. At 21:36 UT yesterday evening, CACTus
detected a halo CME in SOHO/LASCO data with an estimated speed of 613
km/s. This eruption was associated with the C1.5 flare and a type II
radio burst with a shock speed of 360 km/s. The CME is directed mostly
north-westward, but it is possible that the Earth receives a glancing
blow from it, late on April 8th. Two more CME's are visible in the LASCO
images: an eruption to the northwest at 17:12 UT (associated with the
C3.1 flare), which was overtaken by the previously mentioned CME, and a
CME towards the northeast at 19:36 UT which turned out to be a
back-sided event. A filament eruption was observed on the northern solar
limb which started rising slowly from 10:30 UT onwards yesterday.
The solar wind speed currently lies around 340 km/s and the magnetic
field has a total value of ~10nT with a positive north-south component.
Geomagnetic conditions have returned to quiet levels and are expected to
remain so until the possible arrival of yesterday's CME, late on April
8th.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 038, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20406 1200/ 05///
10069 21010 3016/ 4//// 80404 90200
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20406 1200/ 06/07 06104
10089 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50180 60023 43617 16000
10091 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50040 60009 10218 02000
10092 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 16024 00000
10093 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 24736 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 05175 04932 70013 42915 24414 72003 10918 01204 73003
16925 0/101
USSPS 81202 06012 06242 70021 43323 24527 73003 10628 11304 75001
16727 0/101
USSPS 31405 06070 07542 89018 43617 24523 91004 10218 11309 92001
16024 0/102 93001 24736 0/101
UMAGF 30503 20406 1004/ 05064 1/017 23323 32211
UMAGF 31523 20406 ///// 0500/ 1/016 23333 33423
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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