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OK0NAG > SOLAR 05.04.12 14:19l 121 Lines 4412 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Apr 05 1234 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU096
UGEOA 30512 20405 1215/ 9930/
10052 21052 30052
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 05 Apr 2012 until 07 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 020
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 105 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is low with flaring at B-class level. A C1.2
flare occurred yesterday in NOAA AR 11450 with peak time 16:27 UT. We
expect solar activity to remain quiet, with a chance for an isolated
C-class flare.
The GOES satellite data show the arrival of a magnetic structure around
19:30 UT yesterday. A jump in the magnetic field measurements was
observed. The southward component of the magnetic field turned strongly
negative (around -9nT) and remained at this level for almost 12h.
Fortunately, the solar wind speed is currently very low (around 320
km/s, based on SOHO/CELIAS data which suffers from data gaps). Therefore
the geomagnetic consequences were limited: both Kp and the local K-index
in Dourbes reached a value of only 4. More active periods (K=4) can be
expected later today, also due to the possible arrival of the CME on
April 2.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 036, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20405 1215/ 04///
1//// 21020 3007/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20405 1215/ 05/08 05104
10089 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50150 60018 42317 04000
10090 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 10216 00000
10091 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50030 60007 11518 02000
10092 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 17724 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 03104 06322 62009 36522 2/802 68005 10416 24314 69003
14318 21402 70002 30417 21305
USSPS 32404 04110 05522 62006 37821 2/801 68007 41117 21308 69003
12819 21305 70000 32017 0/101
USSPS 21305 04154 04332 64003 38420 2/801 70006 41417 21407 72003
12518 21305
USSPS 81202 05003 05022 65002 38522 2/801 70013 41715 24514 73003
11918 11405
USSPS 31405 05085 06942 89015 42317 24518 90001 10216 0/102 91003
11518 11307 92001 17724 0/102
UMAGF 30503 20405 1004/ 04062 1/016 20122 32333
UMAGF 31523 20405 ///// 0400/ 1/007 22201 32223
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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