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OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.04.12 23:10l 212 Lines 6983 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Apr 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 095 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Apr 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity has been low for the past 24 hours.
Region 1450 (N17W19) produced a C1 flare at 04/1627Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with C-class flares likely for the next three days (05-07
April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (05 April) due to a
weak CME that was associated with the filament eruption that
occurred on 02 April. Days two and three (06-07 April) are expected
to return to quiet levels.
III. Event Probabilities 05 Apr-07 Apr
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Apr 102
Predicted 05 Apr-07 Apr 105/110/110
90 Day Mean 04 Apr 117
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Apr 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Apr 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Apr-07 Apr 007/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Apr-07 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 15/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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