| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.04.12 00:01l 256 Lines 8583 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 14MOK0NAG00J
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120401/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 1 Apr 2012 22:01:14 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1333317214-03b34827823fbfb0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 01 Apr 2012 22:01:21.0083 (UTC) FILETIME=[F8C7F8B0:01CD1052]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.131
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.92913Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1333317214
----boundary_228118_a6ef840f-292d-451b-ba2d-f810b61fcc97
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Apr 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 092 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Apr 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z
to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Only minor B-class/Sf
flares were observed, one from Region 1444 (N21W86) at 31/2107 and
from 1450 (N17E22) at 01/1454Z. The event from Region 1444 was
associated with a narrow eruption visible in SDO/AIA 304 imagery.
The ejecta is not expected to be geoeffective. The remaining
regions were quiet and magnetically simple.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for a C-class flare for the first
two days of the period (02-03 April). The probability of a C class
event increases on Day 3 (04 April) with the anticipated return of
Old Region 1434 (S22 L=207).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagneic field was quiet. Solar wind speed measured at the ACE
spacecraft gradually declined from around 380 km/s at the beginning
of the period to about 320 km/s by the end. At approximately
01/0800Z, ACE indicated a solar sector boundary crossing to a
negative orientation accompanied by increased density and slight (-5
nT) southward Bz.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to begin the period at quiet levels. On Day 3 (04 April),
it will become unsettled with the possiblity of an isolated active
period as a coronal hole high speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Apr-04 Apr
Class M 05/05/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Apr 107
Predicted 02 Apr-04 Apr 110/115/125
90 Day Mean 01 Apr 118
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Mar 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Apr 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr 006/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Apr-04 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor storm 15/15/25
Major-severe storm 05/05/15
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_228118_a6ef840f-292d-451b-ba2d-f810b61fcc97
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_228118_a6ef840f-292d-451b-ba2d-f810b61fcc97--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
