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OK0NAG > SOLAR 31.03.12 13:38l 127 Lines 4691 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Mar 31 1233 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU091
UGEOA 30512 20331 1206/ 9930/
11312 20312 30312
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 31 Mar 2012 until 02 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 113 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 114 / AP: 010
COMMENT: Solar activity has been at eruptive levels during the past 24
hours, with a C1.2-flare peaking at 21:12 UT on March 30. Solar activity
is expected to stay at eruptive levels, with risks of C flares from NOAA
AR 11429 and 11442. There is a slight chance for an isolated M flare
from AR 11429. AIA imagery observed a filament eruption around 14:36 UT
on March 30. An associated CME was registered by LASCO C2 at 14:46 UT,
but we do not expect this CME to become geo-effective.
In the past 24 hours, solar wind speeds as observed by ACE increased
from about 360 to about 445 km/s, and then decreased again to about 350
km/s. There was a jump in solar wind speed measured by ACE from about
360 to about 425 km/s near 12h UT on March 30. Geomagnetic activity has
been quiet (Dourbes K ranged from 0 to 2; NOAA Kp was always 1) during
the past 24 hours. Quiet levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected for March
31, April 1 and 2.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 064, BASED ON 04 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20331 1206/ 30///
10123 21110 3006/ 4//// 80209 90350
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20331 1206/ 30/08 31109
10077 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 35413 00000
10078 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60008 44312 04000
10079 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 43212 00000
10082 2//// 3//// 472// 50200 60002 31022 01000
10083 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 20123 00000
10084 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 23817 00000
10086 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60004 31918 00000
10087 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 42707 00000
10088 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 20328 04100
99999
USSPS 32404 30091 08332 56001 35713 1/801 59006 44512 21405 62022
30422 21306 65001 23818 11303 66002 32218 01206 67001 43513 01202
USSPS 21305 30156 07632 66008 44912 31406 62001 44018 01202 64014
31623 2/801 68003 23418 11304 69001 32918 1/802 70001 17216 0/101
USSPS 81202 31025 08732 70002 15017 2/802 71002 16517 11304 67003
22817 21403 65004 32122 4/801 68001 33419 1/801 60004 45311 21403
61004 44812 11303
UMAGF 30503 20331 1004/ 30065 1/007 22111 31101
UMAGF 31523 20331 ///// 3000/ 1/006 23221 32101
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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