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CX2SA > SWPC 29.03.12 23:21l 55 Lines 2184 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 56383-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IV3SCP<SR1BSZ<ON4HU<CX2ACB<CX2SA
Sent: 120329/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SA #:56383 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:56383-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SA
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Mar 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 089 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Mar 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels. There were six
C-class flares over the past 24 hours with five of these originating
from old Region 1429 (N19, L=299) which is just beginning to rotate
into view as of forecast issue time. The largest flare was a C7
that occurred at 29/0953Z and originated from old Region 1429. New
Region 1449 (S18W17) was numbered today and is a D-class spot group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an isolated M-class flare. Old Region 1429 will
rotate onto the visible disk, increasing the probabilities for
M-class flares.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (30 March - 1 April)
III. Event Probabilities 30 Mar-01 Apr
Class M 35/35/35
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 05/05/05
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Mar 112
Predicted 30 Mar-01 Apr 120/130/135
90 Day Mean 29 Mar 119
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Mar 010/015
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Mar 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Mar-01 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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