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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.03.12 12:55l 130 Lines 5041 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Mar 29 1151 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU089
UGEOA 30512 20329 1134/ 9930/
11292 21292 30292
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 29 Mar 2012 until 31 Mar
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 114 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity has been at eruptive levels during the past 24
hours, with a C1.4-flare having been produced by NOAA AR 11444 with
maximum at 21:58 UT on March 28, and a C7.7-flare having occurred in
NOAA AR 11429 with maximum at 09:53 UT on March 29. Solar activity is
expected to stay at eruptive levels, with risks of C flares from NOAA AR
11429, 11442, 11438 and 11448. An isolated M flare is possible,
especially from AR 11429 which is near the East limb.
After the arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream on March 28,
solar wind velocity peaked at 12:57 UT with a value of 510 km/s, and has
since decreased to a plateau of 360 km/s. The IMF has been below 5 nT in
the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic activity has been quiet (Dourbes K ranged
from 0 to 3; NOAA Kp from 1 or 2) during the past 24 hours. The
geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on March 29 (K Dourbes < 4).
There is a chance for active conditions (K Dourbes = 4) on March 30, due
to the arrival of the halo CME from March 27 (03:12 UT). Quiet levels
are expected for March 31.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 073, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20329 1134/ 28///
10120 21070 3016/ 4//// 80108 90400
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20329 1134/ 29/07 29108
10077 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 33913 01000
10078 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60009 43012 01000
10079 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 41912 00000
10080 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 36924 00000
10082 2//// 3//// 472// 50210 60002 20322 00000
10083 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60008 21423 00000
10084 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 25117 01000
10086 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50030 60007 30618 04200
99999
USSPS 32404 28066 07232 56002 32615 21403 59007 41513 21410 62024
22424 21606 64001 36024 01202 65000 26618 0/101
USSPS 21305 28148 08032 58002 33114 11303 66006 42013 21407 69002
20119 01203 64019 21824 21505 67001 36123 0/101 68001 26118 0/101
USSPS 81202 29006 11432 67003 25517 0/102 65025 21523 44615 68003
30318 11306 58003 33614 21404 66004 36524 0/103 61002 41714 11303
60006 42713 24411
USSPS 31405 29070 12042 77003 33913 21306 78004 43012 24409 79002
41912 12303 80001 36924 01202 82021 20322 2/902 83004 21423 22308
84001 25117 01203 86003 30618 12307
UMAGF 30503 20329 1004/ 28064 1/012 22221 33200
UMAGF 31523 20329 ///// 2800/ 1/016 25322 32242
UCMEO 93001 20328 1930/ 20328 60136 80730 0482/ 047// 333// 31027
20328 60056 80236 ///// 11429 1212/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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