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OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.03.12 14:35l 139 Lines 5040 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Mar 26 1226 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU086
UGEOA 30512 20326 1144/ 9930/
11262 21262 30262
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 26 Mar 2012 until 28 Mar
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 021
COMMENT: The solar activity has been at eruptive levels during the past
24 hours, with four small C flares, three of which were produced by NOAA
AR 11444 and one by NOAA AR 11445. Solar activity is expected to remain
eruptive, with risks of C flares from AR 11444 and 11445. An isolated M
flare is possible. A CME was first observed by the COR2 B coronagraph
aboard STEREO B on March 26 at 01:25 UT. It is not Earth-directed, but
there is a slight chance for a glancing blow from this CME around March
30.
In the past 24 hours, fairly low solar wind speeds (350-400 km/s) have
been observed by ACE, while the Interplanetary Magnetic Field has been
steady around 5 nT. The geomagnetic field has been quiet (K Dourbes
ranged from 0 to 3; NOAA Kp from 0 to 2), and is expected to stay so on
March 26 and 27. On March 28, quiet to active conditions are expected (K
Dourbes from 0 to 4), due to the expected arrival of a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 059, BASED ON 16 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20326 1144/ 25///
1//// 21010 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20326 1144/ 26/08 26108
10076 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 38025 00000
10077 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60002 30113 00000
10078 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50030 60006 10812 00000
10079 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 11914 00000
10080 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 33024 00000
10081 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60007 10419 03000
10082 2//// 3//// 472// 50140 60003 24022 04100
10083 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60006 25223 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 25088 08632 56002 21214 2/801 57002 37225 01204 60000
13416 0/101 61003 12019 21308 62028 26223 31608 63001 41823 01204
USSPS 21305 25179 07842 58002 20714 0/101 60004 37525 01204 62001
12916 0/102 65003 11520 01211 64022 25623 41610
USSPS 81202 26005 05722 63005 10921 21305 60003 11312 21303 65011
25221 61507 58002 20313 2/302
USSPS 31405 26083 11142 76001 38025 0/101 77002 30113 21302 78003
10812 11306 79001 11914 01203 80001 33024 01203 81002 10419 01207
82014 24022 2/903 83004 25223 22306
UMAGF 30503 20326 1004/ 25063 1/006 21211 30011
UMAGF 31523 20326 ///// 2500/ 1/004 22122 32100
INDAA 20319
1/012 03301 60210 16012 02403 3/021
2/008 00500 80080 05008 01201 2/008
3/008 00200 50120 12008 02402 0/011
4/008 01200 20080 05002 02406 7/016
5/024 00500 80080 05008 00800 2/009
6/012 01606 00330 16016 01202 0/023
7/012 01001 20120 21005 00200 2/010
END
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