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OK0NAG > SOLAR 21.03.12 00:05l 220 Lines 7348 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Mar 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 080 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Mar 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z
to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was low. There was just one C-class
x-ray event during the period, a C3 from Region 1434 (S20W66) at
19/2204Z. The solar disk consists of six spotted regions, all of
which were relatively quiet and stable. Two new regions were
assigned today: Region 1438 (S15E69) and Region 1439 (N25W79).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is, however, a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with a chance for some isolated
unsettled periods for the next three days (20-22 March).
III. Event Probabilities 21 Mar-23 Mar
Class M 05/05/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Mar 100
Predicted 21 Mar-23 Mar 095/090/085
90 Day Mean 20 Mar 123
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Mar 008/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Mar 004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Mar-23 Mar 006/007-007/007-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Mar-23 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 15/20/15
Major-severe storm 05/10/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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