| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.03.12 23:05l 250 Lines 8300 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : J3MOK0NAG00J
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120319/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 19 Mar 2012 22:02:06 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1332194258-03b34827822069f0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 19 Mar 2012 22:02:04.0962 (UTC) FILETIME=[EB90A020:01CD061B]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.136
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.91700Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1332194258
----boundary_738989_e4afd207-0c30-4ba4-a217-72e6dacfaa8a
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Mar 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 079 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Mar 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1432 (N22W68) produced
a C1/Sf event at 19/1351Z while developing spots in an area that was
previously plage.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next two days (20-21 March) until Regions 1432
and 1435 (S26W62) exit the visible disk. Activity is expected to
decrease to very low levels with a chance for C-class activity on
day three (22 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels. An isolated
period of active was observed for the 0300-0600Z synoptic period.
The enhanced activity followed what appeared to be the 15 March
transient arrival at the ACE spacecraft around 19/0315Z. Total
field strength rose to 7nT, Bz turned southward to -7nT, wind speeds
reached up to 590 km/s, and temperature and density showed a slight
increase. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 20 March. Activity
is expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels for the rest of the
period.
III. Event Probabilities 20 Mar-22 Mar
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Mar 102
Predicted 20 Mar-22 Mar 100/100/100
90 Day Mean 19 Mar 123
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Mar 011/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Mar 008/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Mar-22 Mar 008/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Mar-22 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/10
Minor storm 05/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 20/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/05/15
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_738989_e4afd207-0c30-4ba4-a217-72e6dacfaa8a
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_738989_e4afd207-0c30-4ba4-a217-72e6dacfaa8a--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
