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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.03.12 14:44l 109 Lines 4114 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Mar 17 1238 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU077
UGEOA 30512 20317 1219/ 9930/
11172 21172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Mar 2012 until 19 Mar
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 017
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to reach eruptive levels with C
class flares likely from NOAA AR 1432 and 1435. There is a slight risk
for an isolated M flare. Geomagnetic activity is expected to stay at
active levels as the Earth is still under the influence of a fast solar
wind stream linked to a coronal hole. Minor storms (K=5) were locally
observed in Dourbes (Belgium) between 15 and 18UT on March 16th.
Unsettled to active conditions might continue till the beginning till
the beginning of March 18th due the CME of March 15th.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 066, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20317 1219/ 16///
10098 20990 3034/ 4//// 80106 90210
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20317 1219/ 16/07 17106
10066 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60005 31423 15000
10067 2//// 3//// 4411/ 50040 60010 41513 15300
10068 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60003 30420 00000
10069 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50100 60015 10512 03000
10071 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 20322 00000
10074 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 27511 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 16096 07732 48004 41715 21410 49008 10413 21407 50003
30122 21505 51002 31625 21404 52000 27212 0/101
USSPS 21305 16183 07742 52007 10113 21306 55003 26912 01202 56002
23235 01202 53001 31321 0/101 54002 32225 21303 51001 42115 01203
USSPS 81202 17033 09012 56004 26314 01203 57003 22734 01203 54003
31522 11303 55004 32526 11411 53006 40513 21306 51003 42714 11304
UMAGF 30503 20317 1004/ 16069 1/041 22335 34443
UMAGF 31523 20317 ///// 1600/ 1/034 24334 33655
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
# #
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