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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.03.12 15:02l 122 Lines 4646 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Mar 15 1251 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU075
UGEOA 30512 20315 1231/ 9930/
12152 22152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 Mar 2012 until 17 Mar
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 028
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 021
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to remain active with risks of M
class flares, essentially from NOAA AR 1432. This regions produced 2 M
flares during the last 24 hours. The first one, a M2.8 occurred on March
14th, 1521 UT (peak time), and was associated with a CME (speed of ~550
km/s). The second flare occurred on March 16th, and peaked at M1.8 level
at 0752UT. It was also associated with a CME (speed of ~450 km/s). Both
events are unlikely to trigger significant geomagnetic activity, in any
case not before the end of March 17th for the first one. Geomagnetic
activity is expected to reach minor storm levels by the end of March
15th or during the course of March 16th due to a coronal hole becoming
geoeffective. It could coincide with the crossing of the flank of the
CME of March 13th, which was not Earth directed.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 059, BASED ON 17 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20315 1231/ 14///
10108 21190 3008/ 4//// 80405 90370
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
14 1508 1521 1536 N14E05 M2.8 1N 72 67
1432
END
UGEOR 30512 20315 1231/ 15/07 15109
10065 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60005 47917 25500
10066 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60005 30123 00000
10067 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50050 60017 40213 29600
10068 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60004 20920 00000
10069 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50100 60013 11712 16200
10070 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 40618 29600
10071 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 21712 00000
10072 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 12514 16200
10073 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 27324 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 14068 07932 44036 46719 21508 48006 11314 24419 49010
13313 21410 50004 22322 21302
USSPS 21305 14172 07432 51006 10715 34319 52012 12713 21309 53003
21522 3/801 48028 47319 11405
USSPS 31405 15073 14242 65003 47917 22305 66002 30123 11305 67005
40213 12317 68003 20920 21304 69010 11712 24413 70001 40618 0/102
71001 21712 01203 72001 12514 0/102 73001 27324 0/101
UMAGF 30503 20315 1004/ 14067 1/019 21222 32342
UMAGF 31523 20315 ///// 1400/ 1/008 23111 32233
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
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