| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 03.03.12 23:06l 265 Lines 8897 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 33MOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120303/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 3 Mar 2012 22:04:04 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1330812152-03b3480d61bfb770001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 03 Mar 2012 22:04:01.0028 (UTC) FILETIME=[8A22E440:01CCF989]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.143
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.90190Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1330812152
----boundary_13248_26032a81-7656-4160-95c9-56fd8f89f533
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Mar 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 063 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Mar 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Both Regions 1427 (N15W31) and
1429 (N18E68) produced low level C-class flares including a long
duration C1.9 x-ray flare at 03/1948Z with an associated Tenflare
(220 sfu) from Region 1429. Initial analysis of newly numbered
Region 1429 indicates it is a Dkc spot class with a Beta-Gamma
magnetic classification. Another spot group was observed emerging
in the SE quadrant and was numbered Region 1428 (S17E51).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels with M-class flares likely from Region 1429.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated minor
storm periods observed at high latitudes from 03/0600 - 1200Z.
Solar wind speed at the ACE spacecraft has declined from
approximately 420 km/s to 380 km/s while the Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field has remained predominantly south near
-5 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (04 March) as a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) is expected to become
geoeffective. Mostly quiet conditions are expected on day 2 (05
March). On day 3 (06 March) another CH HSS is expected to move into
geoeffective position causing quiet to unsettled conditions.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
Class M 55/55/55
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Mar 116
Predicted 04 Mar-06 Mar 115/115/115
90 Day Mean 03 Mar 126
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Mar 010/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Mar 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Mar-06 Mar 007/008-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/15
Minor storm 05/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/20
Minor storm 15/10/15
Major-severe storm 05/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_13248_26032a81-7656-4160-95c9-56fd8f89f533
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_13248_26032a81-7656-4160-95c9-56fd8f89f533--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
