| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.03.12 23:06l 255 Lines 8544 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 23MOK0NAG00H
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120302/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 2 Mar 2012 22:04:07 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1330725764-03b3480d61bb6ca0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 02 Mar 2012 22:04:03.0200 (UTC) FILETIME=[61049000:01CCF8C0]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.143
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.90095Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1330725764
----boundary_673934_d360fc54-0ce2-47b9-85b6-e4b835d832fe
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Mar 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 062 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Mar 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity reached moderate levels today. An M3/Sf
flare was observed off the NE limb at 02/1746Z near N16. As the
region rotates on the visible disk, a more detailed analysis of its
complexity can be determined. STEREO B EUVI 195 imagery indicated a
possible CME associated with the event beginning at 02/1746Z,
however, further imagery from SOHO/LASCO will be needed to confirm.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with M-class activity likely from the new region rotating onto the
NE limb.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active with an isolated minor
storm period observed at high latitudes during the period 02/1200 -
1500Z. Activity was due to sustained periods of southward Bz of the
interplanetary magnetic field coupled with an elevated solar wind
speed around 450 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled conditions on day 1 (03
March). Mostly quiet conditions are expected on day 2 (04 March).
A recurrent coronal high speed stream is expected increase
conditions to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (05 March).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Mar-05 Mar
Class M 55/55/55
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Mar 108
Predicted 03 Mar-05 Mar 110/110/110
90 Day Mean 02 Mar 126
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Mar 012/015
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Mar 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar 008/008-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Mar-05 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/15
Minor storm 05/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/20
Minor storm 15/10/15
Major-severe storm 05/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_673934_d360fc54-0ce2-47b9-85b6-e4b835d832fe
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_673934_d360fc54-0ce2-47b9-85b6-e4b835d832fe--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
