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OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.02.12 13:56l 117 Lines 4417 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Feb 26 1152 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU057
UGEOA 30512 20226 1142/ 9930/
10262 21262 38262
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 26 Feb 2012 until 28 Feb
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 109 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar conditions were quiet and expected to remain quiet for
the next 24 hours. The >10 MeV proton flux is elevated but didn't reach
the event threshold, however they may rise if a new event occurs.
Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to become
unsettled to active during the next 24 hours. The CME that erupted
yesterday 24/2 around 4UT is expected to become geoeffective in the
course of Monday 27/2 between 6 and 16 UT. The magnetic field is
expexted to be oriented northward, we therefore expect only active
geomagnetic conditions (K=4). Another CME was observed late on 24/2
around 20 UT. It is also related to a filament eruption, this time in
the south-east. This CME is not expected to have big geomagnetic
consequences since it is directed mostly southward and since it is very
slow (350 km/s). A glancing blow is however possible, which may lead to
unsetteled conditions late on 29/2.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 029, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20226 1142/ 25///
10054 21080 3008/ 4//// 80104 90140
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20226 1142/ 25/08 26104
10050 2//// 3//// 472// 50070 60006 46715 00000
10052 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 15218 00000
10053 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 20414 00000
10055 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 16308 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 25077 04732 34018 46916 2/802 36011 15318 2/801 37002
16508 21302 38001 20515 11302
USSPS 21305 25215 03332 38022 47915 4/801 41013 14517 4/801 42002
15508 0/101
USSPS 81202 26033 04032 39120 14117 31302 40004 15108 21305 38015
47113 11303
UMAGF 30503 20226 1004/ 25069 1/014 22221 33221
UMAGF 31523 20226 ///// 2500/ 1/008 20122 32242
UCMEO 93001 20225 1730/ 20224 60346 81010 3151/ 314// 223// 40593
20224 60206 80712 12814 ///// 2212/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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