| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.02.12 00:05l 231 Lines 7646 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : G2MOK0NAG00N
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120216/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 16 Feb 2012 22:03:21 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1329429700-03b3480d614a6e60001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 16 Feb 2012 22:03:16.0226 (UTC) FILETIME=[C8D2A620:01CCECF6]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.149
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.88737Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1329429700
----boundary_348959_e0cc73bb-1cf9-4b67-9243-79b95bc4b3b5
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Feb 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 047 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Feb 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. The disk and
limb were quiet and stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed
during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-class activity for the next three days (17 -
19 February).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. ACE solar wind
velocities varied between 350 to 400 km/s while the Bz component of
the interplanetary magnetic field was mostly northward to +5 nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels on day one (17 February)
through late on day two (18 February). Late on day two and through
day three (19 February), field activity is expected to increase to
quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active levels, due to
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream effects.
III. Event Probabilities 17 Feb-19 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Feb 103
Predicted 17 Feb-19 Feb 105/105/100
90 Day Mean 16 Feb 132
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Feb 018/025
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Feb 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Feb-19 Feb 006/005-008/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Feb-19 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/30/30
Minor storm 01/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/40/40
Minor storm 01/20/20
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_348959_e0cc73bb-1cf9-4b67-9243-79b95bc4b3b5
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_348959_e0cc73bb-1cf9-4b67-9243-79b95bc4b3b5--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
