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OK0NAG > SOLAR 13.02.12 15:43l 122 Lines 4402 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Mon, 13 Feb 2012 13:39:09 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Feb 13 1335 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU044
UGEOA 30512 20213 1331/ 9930/
11132 20132 30132
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 13 Feb 2012 until 15 Feb
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is low. The X-ray flux is at B-level and the
biggest flare in the last 24h was a C3.9 flare at 14:43 UT yesterday,
originating in NOAA AR 1419 which is turning onto the disk. This active
region currently has a beta configuration, but has produced M-flares
during its previous rotation (then named NOAA AR 1402). We expect
C-class flares with a chance for an M-class event.
No earth-directed CMEs were observed during the past 24h. Due to the
arrival of a CH wind stream the solar wind speed has been slightly
elevated (increasing to ~400 km/s) since yesterday morning. The magnetic
field remained positive and the local K-index at Dourbes reached a value
of 3. Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions are possible later
today and tomorrow in case of arrival of the ICME arrival from the event
on February 10.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 049, BASED ON 14 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20213 1331/ 12///
1//// 21100 3005/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20213 1331/ 09/08 13104
10036 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 46409 00000
10037 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 46212 00000
10038 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60013 23217 03000
10039 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 25722 02000
99999
USSPS 81202 12103 03532 01001 22124 01203 02006 17728 2/801 03005
17713 2/801
USSPS 81202 13001 06132 31039 41507 41512 33001 31310 01205 35008
27834 21303 36012 27815 2/801
UMAGF 30503 20213 1004/ 12063 1/006 20111 31111
UMAGF 31523 20213 ///// 1200/ 1/005 22102 31212
INDAA 20206
1/008 01200 80050 12033 03300 8/015
2/008 01201 60470 47033 04604 6/032
3/038 02501 60160 25012 03802 0/024
4/008 00800 20120 25016 03300 8/014
5/008 01200 80050 08008 01603 3/012
6/012 00800 50050 12008 01201 2/009
7/012 00800 50120 08008 00800 8/009
END
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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