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OK0NAG > SOLAR 14.05.08 00:04l 73 Lines 2842 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Tue, 13 May 2008 22:01:38 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 May 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 134 Issued at 2200Z on 13 May 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The active region around
the east limb has continued to produce low-level flares during the
past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a chance for B-class flares and a slight chance for
an isolated C-class event from the approaching new region behind the
east limb.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately at quiet conditions for the next three
day period (14-16 May).
III. Event Probabilities 14 May-16 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 May 068
Predicted 14 May-16 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 13 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 May 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 May 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 May-16 May 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 May-16 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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