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OK0NAG > SOLAR 25.01.12 14:54l 117 Lines 4283 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jan 25 1247 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU025
UGEOA 30512 20125 1224/ 9930/
11252 21252 37252
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 25 Jan 2012 until 27 Jan
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 018
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 020
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be eruptive with chances for C
class flares from NOAA AR 1402 and 1401. There remains a risk for an M
class flare from one of these two regions. The proton event linked to
the M8.3 flare of Jan. 23 is still in progress, with >10 MeV proton flux
just below 200 pfu. It reached a maximum value of about 6300 pfu on Jan.
24 around 15:30 UT soon after a shock linked to the halo CME of Jan. 23
was observed by ACE. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to
unsettled during the next 24 hours, with risks for isolated periods of
active conditions. Active conditions are expected by Jan. 27, due to a
coronal hole becoming geoeffective. Current solar wind conditions are
rather quiet with minor disturbances in the interplanetary magnetic
field; the solar wind speed is still around 600 km/s.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 053, BASED ON 03 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20125 1224/ 24///
10128 21360 3022/ 4//// 80008 90500
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20125 1224/ 24/08 25108
10019 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 45618 01000
10020 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50060 60011 44417 16300
10021 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50300 60024 44029 16300
10022 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 42812 01000
10026 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 46318 01000
10027 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60005 42013 00000
10029 2//// 3//// 472// 50080 60002 13709 00000
10030 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 26713 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 24214 08142 11010 45716 21303 10038 44532 54411 14002
43314 01203 19002 46819 0/101 22012 13118 4/802 24002 27919 0/101
UMAGF 30503 20125 1004/ 24061 1/029 21124 34433
UMAGF 31523 20125 ///// 2400/ 1/022 24311 32554
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
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