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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.01.12 14:49l 125 Lines 4967 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jan 16 1244 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU016
UGEOA 30512 20116 1221/ 9930/
12162 21162 30162
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 16 Jan 2012 until 18 Jan
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 142 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 149 / AP: 005
COMMENT: Solar flaring activity is expected to reach the M-level due to
NOAA ARs 1401 and 1402 (no Catania numbers yet) near the north-east
limb. However, an Earth-directed CME associated with flares in these
active regions is unlikely. As measured by ACE, the solar wind speed
near the Earth is currently around 420 km/s, and the interplanetary
magnetic field magnitude around 13 nT. The increase of the IMF
magnitude, as well as the sector boundary crossing in the night of
January 14/15 indicate a possible arrival of a faster solar wind flow
from a narrow low-latitude coronal hole. At the moment the solar wind
speed is still low and the IMF north-south component is fluctuating
around zero, resulting in quiet geomagnetic conditions. However,
isolated intervals of active conditions (K = 4) are possible.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 095, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20116 1221/ 15///
1//// 21340 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
14 1314 1318 1320 N14E88 M1.4
1401 SolarSoft Events location
END
UGEOR 30512 20116 1221/ 14/08 16107
10005 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60008 46713 00000
10008 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 40921 00000
10011 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50080 60013 11326 01000
10012 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60013 41313 00000
10013 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60004 22318 00000
10015 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 20612 00000
10016 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 27922 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 15108 11222 06002 42421 2/801 07008 10225 31409 08001
21020 01203 09007 42813 21409 11002 26423 1/801 12018 17016 2/802
13030 17528 4/803 14001 23820 0/104
USSPS 21305 15206 11132 04001 42921 0/101 05012 40425 51407 06008
43513 41307 08001 25924 0/101 11029 16916 41307 10036 16927 4/802
12002 23120 01203 13002 41412 01203
USSPS 81202 16028 12632 12045 16329 31304 11042 16218 31405 15003
17714 0/101 10002 25522 0/101 13001 22618 0/101 08004 43712 21405
14004 41612 21404 05002 43220 21305 06004 40825 21410
UMAGF 30503 20116 1004/ 15060 1/010 20011 32321
UMAGF 31523 20116 ///// 1500/ 1/004 21110 30123
INDAA 20109
1/016 01601 20120 16024 01201 6/016
2/008 00800 80210 25012 01201 2/013
3/012 01600 80080 05016 01201 6/012
4/008 01201 00120 16012 03302 5/016
5/024 01603 30120 08008 00500 8/014
6/005 00501 20050 05002 00200 8/006
7/008 01201 00020 05012 00803 3/011
END
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