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OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.01.12 14:18l 120 Lines 4436 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jan 07 1214 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU007
UGEOA 30512 20107 1208/ 9930/
11072 20072 30072
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 07 Jan 2012 until 09 Jan
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 134 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 132 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 133 / AP: 016
COMMENT: NOAA regions 11390, 11392, 11388 and 11389 have each produced
a low C flare in the last 24 hours. The brightest flare was released by
NOAA AR 1392 and had a GOES X-ray flux peak value of C2.6 around 00:09
UT on January 7. More C flares are expected in the next 24 hour period.
After the arrival on Janury 6 of the expected Coronal Hole high speed
stream, ACE has measured solar wind velocities between 400 and 450 km/s
in the last 24 hours, with the IMF around 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions
have been quiet in this period, and are expected to be quiet with a
chance of active periods on January 7. Quiet conditions are likely on
January 8. On January 9, a glancing blow is possible from the CME first
observed by COR2 A on January 5, 14:24 UT, in which case active
geomagnetic levels are expected.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 064, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20107 1208/ 06///
1//// 21360 3009/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20107 1208/ 05/10 07109
10001 2//// 3//// 472// 50230 60004 32817 00000
10002 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 32223 01000
10004 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 41019 03000
10005 2//// 3//// 475// 50280 60007 14413 01000
10006 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60003 15113 00000
10007 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50040 60016 10417 01000
10097 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 38718 00000
10098 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50100 60008 46009 01000
10099 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 34223 01000
99999
USSPS 21305 06161 09242 03001 14718 0/102 07036 13514 51417 05026
34418 5/801 04005 35726 2/801 02002 42820 11307 01001 41017 01204
USSPS 81202 07012 09722 72006 43317 14406 73009 41616 31410 71042
12712 54414 74001 14018 01202 68005 36024 11302 69021 34821 21403
UMAGF 30503 20107 1004/ 06062 1/016 21211 33332
UMAGF 31523 20107 ///// 0600/ 1/009 22112 31243
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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