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OK0NAG > SOLAR 30.12.11 14:57l 116 Lines 4442 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Dec 30 1252 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU364
UGEOA 30512 11230 1240/ 9930/
11302 20302 30302
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 30 Dec 2011 until 01 Jan
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Dec 2011 10CM FLUX: 147 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Dec 2011 10CM FLUX: 147 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 147 / AP: 011
COMMENT: Solar activity is dominated by NOAA AR 11389. This region
produced many C-flares and 3 low M-flares in the past day. More C-flares
are expected from this region, with the possibility of another M-flare.
While STEREO/COR2 suffers from a data gap, SOHO/LASCO is showing a
westward CME at 16:24 yesterday, related to a backsided event.
Despite the -expected- arrival of multiple CME's, the geomagnetic
conditions have remained quiet due to a relatively low solar wind speed
and positive southward component of the magnetic field. The solar wind
speed increased up to 450 km/s and is currently around 400 km/s. The
interplanetary magnetic field has a total value around 10nT. The faster
solar wind speed originating in the extension of the southern polar
coronal hole and the CME arrivals can still cause unsettled geomagnetic
conditions in the coming days.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 062, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11230 1240/ 29///
1//// 21470 3010/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
29 1340 1350 1401 M1.9
1389
29 2143 2151 2159 S27E65 M2.0 SF
1389
30 0303 0309 0313 S27E64 M1.2 SN
1389
END
USSPS 32404 29081 09632 77034 44713 41304 79012 20318 21407 80015
37818 21403 81006 25026 2/801 82026 26823 21508 83001 14008 01202
84001 45905 1/801
USSPS 21305 29173 09432 06002 13308 31306 05018 26622 34309 04006
24524 2/801 01008 20119 24314 03006 38820 01202 00024 45515 51302
USSPS 81202 30011 08922 70004 12809 21308 69050 22623 57515 68006
24223 2/801 66010 30418 24512 64031 45612 41303
UMAGF 30503 11230 1004/ 29069 1/014 22321 32212
UMAGF 31523 11230 ///// 2900/ 1/010 21223 32233
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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