| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.12.11 23:52l 249 Lines 8297 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : TCLOK0NAG00N
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 111229/2249z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 29 Dec 2011 22:49:33 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1325198920-03b348141fdc6e0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 29 Dec 2011 22:49:35.0446 (UTC) FILETIME=[23203760:01CCC67C]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.171
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.84473Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1325198920
----boundary_45839_4a27e788-333b-4900-88c1-1606186db255
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Dec 29 2245 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 363 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Dec 2011
*********Corected Copy***********
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1389 (S23E58) produced the largest event of the
period, an M1/1F flare at 29/1350Z. Region 1389 continues to grow
and evolve as it rotates around the east limb.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels for the next three days (30 December - 01
January).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for
the past 24 hours. Solar wind speeds, as measured by the ACE
spacecraft, have shown an increase from 280 km/s to almost 450 km/s
in the past 24 hours. Signatures in the solar wind indicate the
possible arrivals of the forecasted CME''s, however the intensity was
lower than expected.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for day one (30
December) as the effects of the CME''s wane. Predominantly
quiet levels are expected on day two (31 December). A return to
quiet to unsettled levels is expected on day three (01 January) as a
coronal hole high speed stream moves into a geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Dec-01 Jan
Class M 40/40/40
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Dec 147
Predicted 30 Dec-01 Jan 145/145/145
90 Day Mean 29 Dec 144
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Dec 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Dec 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Dec-01 Jan 012/008-005/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Dec-01 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/10
Minor storm 05/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 20/10/15
Major-severe storm 20/05/15
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_45839_4a27e788-333b-4900-88c1-1606186db255
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_45839_4a27e788-333b-4900-88c1-1606186db255--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
