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OK0NAG > SOLAR 28.12.11 14:22l 113 Lines 4176 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Dec 28 1215 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU362
UGEOA 30512 11228 1147/ 9930/
11282 21282 30282
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 28 Dec 2011 until 30 Dec
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Dec 2011 10CM FLUX: 143 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Dec 2011 10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 022
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Dec 2011 10CM FLUX: 147 / AP: 012
COMMENT: NOAA AR 11387 and 11388 (no Catania number) produced several
C-flares in the past 24h. The most prominent flare yesterday was a C8.9
flare produced by NOAA AR 11386 (no Catania number) at 04:22 UT. This
eruption was accompanied by a CME observed with the coronographs onboard
both the STEREO and SOHO spacecrafts. A first estimate of its speed lies
around 800 km/s. A glancing blow from this event is possible late on
December 29th.
We expect possible unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions later
today and tomorrow due to the arrival of several CME's on December 25
and 26 and a high speed solar wind stream from a coronal hole. The first
arrival signatures are currently visible in the ACE data. The solar wind
speed is increasing but still low (<300 km/s) and total interplanetary
magnetic field is climbing towards 15 nT. For now its southward
component is still positive, so geomagnetic conditions are quiet at the
moment.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 064, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11228 1147/ 27///
1//// 21401 3000/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
USSPS 32404 27085 08832 73006 38517 2/801 76000 43104 0/101 77031
41813 51306 79022 23318 34509 80026 34822 31410 81006 27723 2/801
USSPS 21305 27188 06742 00047 42514 41305 01019 23517 44410 03028
35421 51411 04008 27223 2/801
USSPS 81202 28001 08522 64035 42812 54310 67029 35421 34408 66018
22218 34415 68010 27724 3/801 69012 28319 3/801
UMAGF 30503 11228 1004/ 27067 1/004 21100 30010
UMAGF 31523 11228 ///// 2700/ 1/000 20000 30000
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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