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OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.12.11 13:08l 122 Lines 4618 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Dec 26 1202 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU360
UGEOA 30512 11226 1149/ 9930/
11262 20262 30262
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 26 Dec 2011 until 28 Dec
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Dec 2011 10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Dec 2011 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Dec 2011 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 022
COMMENT: NOAA AR 11387 (no Catania number) is by far the most active
region on the solar disk. In the last 24 h, it produced 2 M-flares in
addition to 6 C-flares. Yesterday, at 18:16 UT this region was the
source of an M4.0 flare. Linked to this event, a type IV radio burst and
a proton flux enhancement in GOES data were observed. The associated
type II radio burst had an estimated shock speed around 1000 km/s. A CME
was observed by the STEREO/COR2 and SOHO/LASCO instruments in the
south-west. We expect to receive at least a glancing blow from this CME,
which can cause unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions starting from
December 27 evening.
For now, geomagnetic conditions are quiet. As the GOES background X-ray
flux is at high B-level, we expect more C-flares in the coming days,
with a possibility for another M-flare.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 070, BASED ON 04 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11226 1149/ 25///
1//// 21441 3002/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
25 1811 1816 1820 S21W31 M4.0 SF 120 VI/2,IV/3,II/2
1387
26 0213 0227 0236 S21W33 M1.5 1N VI/1
1387
END
UGEOR 30512 11226 1149/ 23/08 26106
10086 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50100 60005 47419 00000
10089 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60003 33317 03000
10090 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50150 60012 32716 03000
10092 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60002 12104 00000
10094 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50400 60008 13313 03000
10096 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 20629 19400
99999
USSPS 32404 25123 07522 73012 36117 3/802 76001 40703 1/801 77029
10613 41508 79005 25818 21605 80004 32222 14309
USSPS 21305 25194 09432 00030 10413 41509 01007 25618 21409 02001
32232 0/102 03005 32722 21411 98012 36517 3/802 99001 41014 0/101
USSPS 81202 26019 07622 62015 36621 2/801 65002 32634 01202 67007
32823 24307 64033 40313 44508 66017 25116 24308
UMAGF 30503 11226 1004/ 25067 1/004 21110 30000
UMAGF 31523 11226 ///// 2500/ 1/002 22211 30000
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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