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OK0NAG > SOLAR    25.12.11 15:04l 116 Lines 4211 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Dec 25 1254 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU359
UGEOA 30512 11225 1221/ 9930/
11252 20252 30252
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 25 Dec 2011 until 27 Dec 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Dec 2011  10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Dec 2011  10CM FLUX: 146 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Dec 2011  10CM FLUX: 146 / AP: 004
COMMENT: Flaring activity almost reached the M-level. C-flaring
activity will continue. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet. Part of
the filament in the northern hemisphere near the central meridian
disappeared. A first part was ejected on Dec 24 from 23:29UT. From Dec

25, 06:29 UT another part of the filament rose and was ejected. Based on

STEREO A/B COR2 data, we estimated a speed between 400 and 500 km/s for

the ejection around midnight. The second ejection was less powerful.
Since the filament was located near the central meridian, the CME's are

Earth directed. The arrival of the CME's is expected in 3 to 4 days.






TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 067, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11225 1221/ 24///
1//// 21430 3003/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 11225 1221/ 23/08 25106
10086 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50100 60005 47419 00000
10089 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60003 33317 00000
10090 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50150 60012 32716 00000
10092 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60002 12104 02000
10094 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50400 60008 13313 02000
10096 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 20629 03100
99999
USSPS 32404 24083 09132 73015 34517 2/802 75003 33817 04210 76003 
10903 21304 77046 12113 41510 78000 30432 0/102 79006 26617 21403 
USSPS 21305 24220 06512 99001 10205 0/101 00032 11513 41507 01007 
26518 31403 02001 31332 01203 98009 35417 3/801 
USSPS 81202 25019 06622 62010 35518 21302 67003 31522 21403 63001 
40103 2/801 64033 11313 44407 66012 26018 21403 
UMAGF 30503 11225 1004/ 24067 1/008 21110 31221 
UMAGF 31523 11225 ///// 2400/ 1/003 20011 31022 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

#                                                                    #

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