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OK0NAG > SOLAR 30.12.07 23:11l 70 Lines 2719 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 7 Dec 2007 22:02:30 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2007 Dec 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 341 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Dec 2007
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low, however, there is the chance for an isolated C-class flare
from either Region 977 (S05W16) or 978 (S09E54).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels 08 - 09 December. On 10 December the
geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled due to a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective
position.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Dec-10 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Dec 082
Predicted 08 Dec-10 Dec 085/085/085
90 Day Mean 07 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Dec 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Dec 001/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Dec-10 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/25
Minor storm 10/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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