| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.11.11 00:03l 221 Lines 7328 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : GBLOK0NAG00L
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 111116/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 16 Nov 2011 22:01:43 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1321479307-03b3480de91cc160001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 16 Nov 2011 22:01:41.0241 (UTC) FILETIME=[52341690:01CCA4AB]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.192
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.80441Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1321479307
----boundary_559552_166e0fff-6204-4bda-be52-d85fb1c06898
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Nov 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 320 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Nov 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was moderate due to an M-class flare
observed during the period. Region 1348 (N20,L088), which rotated
off of the west limb, produced an M1/1f at 15/2235Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for isolated M-class activity through the period (17 -
19 November).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day one (17 November). By day two
and three (18 - 19 November), the field is expected to be at quiet
to unsettled levels with isolated active periods, in response to a
possible glancing blow from the coronal mass ejection observed late
on 14 November.
III. Event Probabilities 17 Nov-19 Nov
Class M 40/40/40
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Nov 142
Predicted 17 Nov-19 Nov 145/150/150
90 Day Mean 16 Nov 136
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Nov 007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Nov 004/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov 005/005-007/007-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Nov-19 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 06/10/10
Minor storm 02/02/02
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 16/17/17
Minor storm 17/22/22
Major-severe storm 10/13/13
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_559552_166e0fff-6204-4bda-be52-d85fb1c06898
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_559552_166e0fff-6204-4bda-be52-d85fb1c06898--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
