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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.11.11 14:33l 123 Lines 4760 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Nov 10 1229 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU314
UGEOA 30512 11110 1218/ 9930/
11102 20102 30102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Nov 2011 until 12 Nov
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 179 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 181 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 179 / AP: 025
COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 31 (NOAA AR 1339) maintains the
beta-gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. We expect
flaring activity at the C-class level, with an M-class flare possible
but not very likely. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 360
km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic
field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the next 24
hours. On November 12 we expect the arrival of an interplanetary
disturbance associated with the halo CME observed on the Sun on November
9. Geomagnetic storm conditions (most probably at K = 5 or 6) will then
be possible.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 115, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11110 1218/ 09///
1//// 21800 3001/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
09 1304 1335 1412 N24E35 M1.1 II/2,III/2
34 1342 SolarSoft location
END
UGEOR 30512 11110 1218/ 10/08 10111
10030 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50130 60011 34413 02000
10031 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50750 60058 42517 16100
10033 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50080 60003 20508 00000
10034 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50160 60009 11618 03000
10035 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50150 60014 12411 00000
10036 2//// 3//// 472// 50120 60001 13228 00000
10038 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60011 32217 01000
10039 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 32221 00000
10040 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50050 60007 30723 01000
10041 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 12421 00000
10042 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 22417 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 09212 15632 46022 33515 21407 45101 41819 57645 48011
20209 2/801 50015 13210 21306 51026 12217 41307 53017 14026 4/801
49007 31518 21303 54008 20125 01206
USSPS 81202 10038 15212 13102 42118 57645 20018 12715 21305 21018
13527 2/801 19011 12608 21303 14019 33913 21304 22006 31917 11307
24009 30425 14406 18008 20809 2/801
USSPS 31405 10085 23342 30013 34413 24511 31075 42517 34558 33008
20508 21303 34016 11618 21309 35015 12411 21314 36012 13228 2/901
38004 32217 21311 39001 32221 01203 40005 30723 35407 41002 12421
01205 42001 22417 0/101
UMAGF 30503 11110 1004/ 09067 1/004 20110 30010
UMAGF 31523 11110 ///// 0900/ 1/001 20001 31000
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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