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OK0NAG > SOLAR 08.11.11 14:05l 112 Lines 4309 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Tue, 8 Nov 2011 13:03:28 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Nov 08 1301 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU312
UGEOA 30512 11108 1242/ 9930/
12082 20082 38082
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 08 Nov 2011 until 10 Nov
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 184 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 186 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 188 / AP: 003
COMMENT: NOAA ARs 1338 and 1339 situated close to the solar central
meridian have a complicated configuration of the photospheric magnetic
field (beta-gamma and beta-gamma-delta respectively). The flaring
activity is expected to continue in these active regions, with a good
chance for an M-class flare. Due to the position of both sunspot groups
close to the central meridian, any CME originating in them may produce
strong geomagnetic consequences as well as SEP fluxes. The Earth is
currently inside a slow (around 380 km/s) solar wind flow with slightly
elevated (around 8 nT) interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude.
Although the north-south IMF component is steadily negative during the
last two hours, we do not expect any significant geomagnetic activity
due to the low solar wind speed. Quiet geomagnetic conditions with
possibly isolated active (K = 4) intervals are expected in the coming
hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 123, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11108 1242/ 07///
10227 21820 3005/ 4//// 80610 91880
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
USSPS 32404 07077 16032 23001 47912 1/801 26018 30313 24512 27119
11519 57643 29000 42318 0/101 30008 24509 2/801 31000 21522 0/101
32015 16511 31303 33018 15818 31507 34016 17227 2/801
USSPS 21305 07155 15532 44001 42817 0/101 46027 30612 34418 49001
21222 0/101 48010 24208 3/801 45103 11120 57645 53014 16830 3/801
51017 15018 31304 50024 16112 31404
USSPS 81202 08002 15722 14018 31314 24515 15110 10720 57648 18007
23609 2/801 19009 15511 31404 20013 14918 21516 21005 16428 2/801
22001 20722 0/102
UMAGF 30503 11108 1004/ 07062 1/010 21212 31122
UMAGF 31523 11108 ///// 0700/ 1/005 20111 31321
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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