| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.11.11 23:05l 242 Lines 8124 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 2BLOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 111102/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 2 Nov 2011 22:03:21 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1320269876-03b3483259101980001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 02 Nov 2011 22:03:19.0844 (UTC) FILETIME=[3B313640:01CC99AB]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.199
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.79145Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1320269876
----boundary_265098_c72d704f-ba0a-4dfe-9b41-d1185802ff28
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Nov 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 306 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1339 (N18E63) produced
occasional C-class flares, the largest of which was a C7/Sf at
02/1721Z. It rotated more fully into view as a Dkc/beta-gamma group.
No significant changes were observed in Region 1339, but analysis
was hampered by east limb proximity. No significant changes
occurred in the remaining regions.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
through the period (03 - 05 November) with a chance for an M-class
flare from Region 1339.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels with
minor to major storm periods detected at high latitudes due to
persistent effects from a coronal transient.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through the period (03 -
05 November) with a chance for active levels on 05 November due to a
coronal hole high-speed stream. The CME mentioned in yesterday's
report is expected to arrive at Earth early on 04 November, but is
not expected to significantly disturb the field.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
Class M 50/50/50
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Nov 154
Predicted 03 Nov-05 Nov 160/165/165
90 Day Mean 02 Nov 125
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov 014/021
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov 012/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 007/008-008/010-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/25
Minor storm 01/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_265098_c72d704f-ba0a-4dfe-9b41-d1185802ff28
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_265098_c72d704f-ba0a-4dfe-9b41-d1185802ff28--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
