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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.10.11 20:51l 129 Lines 5172 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Oct 29 1847 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU302
UGEOA 30512 11029 1841/ 9930/
11292 21292 30292
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 29 Oct 2011 until 31 Oct
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 128 / AP: 038
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 126 / AP: 019
COMMENT: The Sun has produced five small C-flares in the last 24 hours.
Three of them occurred in NOAA AR 11324 (which has seen some new flux
emergence), one in NOAA AR 11333, and the other one in NOAA AR 11325.
C-flares are probable within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for
an M-flare, especially from NOAA regions 11330, 11324 and 11333.
An Earth-directed partial halo CME was observed by LASCO C2 around 12h
UT on October 27. LASCO C2 also detected a CME at 21:24 UT on October
28, which could deliver a glancing blow to the Earth on October 30.
October 30 is expected to see the combined arrival of the CME first
observed by LASCO C2 on October 26 around 10h UT, and the two CMEs
listed above. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are likely for October 29.
Active geomagnetic conditions are possible on October 30 up till the
first half of October 31, with a good chance for a minor geomagnetic
storm in the second half of October 30. The geomagnetic field will
probably return to quiet levels in the second half of October 31.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 068, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11029 1841/ 28///
1//// 21340 3001/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11029 1841/ 20/07 29112
10005 2//// 3//// 472// 50200 60002 46128 00000
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60009 35211 00000
10007 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50240 60018 45411 00000
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 34024 00000
10017 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 30813 00000
10019 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50230 60028 15212 00000
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 22020 00000
10021 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 36218 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 42415 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 30506 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 13120 15100
10025 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60008 18117 02000
99999
USSPS 81202 27232 11342 00006 44613 11409 02002 42517 01203 05048
10508 41520 09006 11215 11417 08004 13732 2/803 01002 37372 0/101
USSPS 32404 28086 08732 11009 45213 21407 12000 43117 0/101 18042
40008 41519 21004 13231 2/801 22004 10715 21409
USSPS 21305 28170 07632 27005 45710 21306 29001 43615 0/101 34003
30403 41513 40002 10215 01205 39002 12732 2/801
USSPS 81202 28002 11342 00006 45213 11409 02002 42617 01203 05048
10408 41520 09006 11115 11417 08004 13632 2/803 01002 38120 0/101
USSPS 81202 29051 08912 00007 47412 11306 02001 44117 0/101 05047
41107 44618 09002 40615 11302 08003 12131 2/801 10001 15317 0/101
UMAGF 30503 11029 1004/ 28064 1/003 20010 30000
UMAGF 31523 11029 ///// 2800/ 1/001 20001 31000
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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